Network HC food industry over the past year, the world economy has experienced slow and uneven recovery - the trend of economic recovery in developed countries, obscure, as the representative of China emerging market countries have become the main engine of world economic growth - the trend of world economy, the occurrence of catalytic power is quietly transforming. With strong growth, emerging economies will be a lot of overflow or the flow of funds to, and in its role of multiple factors together, the formation of its long-term asset prices and price pressures, inflation in these countries to promote. As a representative of the country's rapid economic development, China is facing the grim situation of inflationary pressures.
huge inflationary pressure in China now, and the food industry is one of the main contribution rate of inflation. In the past 2010, However, food prices have always been a barometer of Indeed, its contribution to the 2010 inflation rate of negative growth. However, faced with inflationary pressures in the country environment, the meat products in 2011 is facing the same pressure on prices. And prices are expected pressure is serious.
However, we are in the face of inflation, price increases, do not blindly In the face of crisis and opportunity, we must adhere to the scientific perspective problems, adhere to the scientific approach to development. Meat food industry in 2011 is also true, we must take the scientific development as the theme.
We should adhere to the scientific perspective the problem
in 2010, play Including beverages, milk powder prices have been We can not deny that However, we can not increase the price of one-sided that only
Therefore, we must look at the scientific and analytical approach to meat prices likely to rise in 2011 because -
one. Increased production costs caused by price pressure
- feed the rising prices of resource products: 2010, pig, chicken feed, the main raw material of corn and soybean meal prices, pushed up pork, chicken costs about 20%; 2011, to ensure to ensure the effective supply of food, whether it is raising the minimum purchase price, or import from international markets making it up, or the artificial wage increase food production, food prices will push up, and then transmitted to the downstream price of meat products. Others such as land, energy, water and other resource products prices, meat prices will also transfer to in the past.
- labor and wage increase: in 2010 the food industry production and supply of labor shortage has become an important reason for tightening. While many companies competing to raise wages, the operation is still difficult to hire enough workers, especially skilled workers. Difficult labor caused the main cause of the food industry, partly because farming can make money, land rental prices increased pace of urbanization Relocation Compensation for farmers and other farmers to reduce the work outside the home; the other hand, is due to the employment needs of the food business was increased. In the context of the labor shortage, companies appear to increase staff mobility trends show that the rising cost of human resources, to promote meat prices continue to rise as an important factor.
- disaster prevention spending to increase: Recently, China and neighboring countries, foot and mouth disease, avian flu and other animal diseases The V He, the various natural disasters, for livestock and poultry breeding a great influence on industrial production. To strengthen prevention and mitigation, current and future relevant inputs over a longer period of time will continue to increase the production cost of raw materials into the animal to go.
II. Market demand caused by price pressure
present, China's per capita GDP of just over 3,000 U.S. dollars, only one-tenth of Japan; domestic personal consumption expenditure to GDP ratio by the 52.5% in 1981 to 35.1% in 2009. Meat consumption of urban and rural residents in Taiwan has not yet reached the level of 70 kg per capita, growth potential is great. Meat consumption, especially of farmers, there is a large room for growth. According to statistics, in 2010 the national production reached 78.5 million tons of meat, egg production 27.6 million tons, respectively, an increase of 2.6% and 1.5%, but the per capita consumption of meat per capita in 2005 was still below the level of 59.2 kg . Beef and mutton supply has been tight. Objectively speaking, China's meat market in a limited supply and demand balance. As I had a total population growth and industrialization, urbanization, especially the personal consumption expenditure to GDP ratio gradually increased demand for meat will continue to expand, thereby pulling the rising price of meat .
III. The stir caused by speculative funds price pressure in the main agricultural products
tightening supply and demand trends, social capital rather than investment shifted agricultural industry speculation that grain prices, meat prices are no longer a simple commodity prices, and is a financial product prices. Many funds and investment banks speculation, may become food prices, meat prices to rise further motivation.
three or more meat in 2011 may be the main reason for price increases. Which, by the people In contrast, the overflow of funds into the market, as long as the guide properly, it can for our meat industry to make appropriate contribution to the healthy and rapid development.
seize the opportunity of favorable policies to effectively alleviate the pressure on industry characteristics
the current situation, the Central Economic Work Conference will focus on addressing the macro-control well maintained steady and rapid economic development, and the adjustment of economic structure, management relationship between inflation expectations and accelerate the strategic readjustment of economic structure, to stabilize prices in a more prominent position, and effectively enhance the coordination of economic development, sustainability and the power . This is the development of China's meat industry has a crucial impact.
- active fiscal policies to promote adjustment of industrial structure of meat: the central authorities have made clear that to continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy, fiscal policy played in steady growth, improve the structure, adjust the allocation of and promoting the role of harmony. View from the meat industry, the state will continue to implement the integrated financial special pig industry chain, and vigorously promote the breeding, slaughtering, processing and distribution, aiming to closely co-ordinated, and promote urban and rural and regional economic coordinated development of the stability of the meat products market supply. To enhance the regulatory capacity of the meat market, will increase the timely and appropriate to purchasing and storage, further expanding the scale of meat storage, varieties and specifications, or if necessary increase in low-income subsidies.
- a stable monetary policy, the optimization requirements, the better the flow the total gate, to guide more credit funds, invest in real economy, especially the Meat processing is the If 2011 can be called a healthy growth pattern of wealth accumulation and great significance.
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